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Jan
Monty Hall Problem Probability. The probability is the same for all the three doors. This time however conditioning on red being preferred to green reduced the original probability of 12 to 13 whereas in the Monty Hall problem the probability was initially 13 and did not change. Begingroup This is known as the Monty Hall problem. The Problem to be Solved.
Two choices are 50-50 when you know nothing about them. When you pick the initial door the probability of being correct is 1 3 and the probability of being wrong is 2 3. Monty helps us by filtering the bad choices on the other side. Information affects your decision that at first glance seems as though it shouldnt. In this case which is the Monty Hall problem youll pick the remaining door so thatd be 1 23. Insight into the problem.
The Monty Hall Problem is not a Probability Puzzle Its a challenge in mathematical modelling Richard D.
Since the total odds have to add up to 1 the odds of B being the correct door are now 23. Unfortunately the Monty Hall. Heres the key points to understanding the Monty Hall puzzle. The probability is the same for all the three doors. After the game master opens one of the other doors the probability of being wrong is still 2 3 except now all this probability is on just one door. When you pick the initial door the probability of being correct is 1 3 and the probability of being wrong is 2 3.